Minimum wage, Maxime carnage DEC: How Christy Clark has turned the miracle of the long-awaited wage hike into a potential disaster for students and the B.C. economy By Knowlton Thomas for this paper back in 2009. It was about the Harmonized Sales Tax, and seriously questioned the method by which then-Premier Gordon Campbell implemented it. The move, as my article forecasted, was devastating — both to B.C. residents and to Campbell’s political career. After a long overdue resignation by Mr. Campbell in early November of last year, Christy Clark was recently appointed his successor. Clark, like nearly every politician does, promised change. And she, like Campbell, did so: only a couple of weeks into her stint as this province’s premier, she has make a quick, bold move that, like the HST, will shake the very foundations of B.C. You’ ve probably heard it by now: Clark announced that the minimum wage is being raised from $8.00 to $8.75 in May, and will be up to $10.25 by May of next year. That’s correct. A 28 percent wage hike in a single year. So we must once again ask the question: is this a good move or bad? Well, first of all, the students of Douglas will answer with a resounding “YES!” This is expected, of course. But, like most things in life, this change is not so simple. There are implications —a large stone has been thrown into a big pond, and most everyone will feel the ripples whether they see them coming or not. The potential negative consequences of this decision are significant. It begins with business, and the rules of business are basic. Some points to consider: First, the purpose of a company is to generate profit (or break-even if it’s an NPO). Second, profit is the result of taking a company’s net earnings and deducting from that number the company’s net costs. Third, the wage of a company’s employees is a component of its net costs. Which loops us back to Clark’s move and my fourth point: this wage hike increases the costs of the operations of many businesses in our province. [&= the very first article I wrote 12 Now, you may not care about this. After all, you’re probably not a shareholder in the company, so why worry about its profit? As long as you get your paycheque, right? Wrong, unfortunately. See, the company you work for is going to want to maintain its profit margin (if not constantly strive to increase it). Therefore, if a hike to the minimum wage increases a company’s costs in that area, it will look to cut costs in another area. This may affect you indirectly, such as lost opportunities for promotions and raises, or directly, such as lost hours or even layoffs. The other indirect negative implication this wage hike could have on students (and all consumers, for that matter) is raised costs. Take grocery stores, for example. Most of them pay the vast majority of their front-end and ground-floor staff minimum wage or close enough to it. If everyone suddenly gets a 28 percent raise, the cost of doing business goes up—and if they don’t cut hours or lay people off, they’ll simply raise the costs of their products. This will apply to many other types of companies: coffee shops, pubs and restaurants, retail outlets, convenience stores, banks and credit unions, etc. Anywhere you can think that pays at least some of its employee base minimum wage or even remotely close to it, costs may very well go up. And trust me, this is virtually every business, because the ripple effect will see people making as much as $20 or more per hour ask for raises; the uppers will not want to see entry level staff get a 28 percent raise while they get nothing. Christy Clark isn’t completely stupid. She knows businesses need such substantial raise hikes to occur transitionally, which is why she is executing the hike over multiple increments. But it’s still a bad mix, like water and oil: one year is too short, and 28 percent is too much. Such a hike should transition over at least two years. The increments will ease the pain slightly, but it’s like B.C.’s economy taking one pain killer when it needs at least two or three—the headache is still apt to be felt. All of this granted, let’s not act like the world is over. The B.C. economy isn’t going to collapse; it’s taken harder blows in the past. And, potential cutbacks in hours and staff aside, students stand to benefit the most: many currently work for between $8 and $11 per hour, so in a little over a year; they’re all going to make a fair bit more. As mentioned, some may lose hours, some may get laid off, and that’s very tragic. But it’s not the Great Depression. Most businesses will absorb the shock of raised costs or cut back in areas that don’t affect employees or consumers as directly. As long as students can land jobs in what will become a tighter, more competitive space, they will be reaping the benefits of a groundbreaking, meteoric wage hike. Our best idea of knowing whether this will work is a simple cross-country comparison. Do so, and you realize we’re long due for this change—it’s been a remarkable ten years since B.C.’s minimum wage was last raised, and in that time, costs of tuition and virtually everything else has climbed substantially. Even with the 28 percent hike, $10.25 is not an extraordinarily high minimum. In Newfounfland, the minimum wage is already $10, and in Ontario, it’s already $10.25. And, not that job prospects are bright there, but Nunavut has Canada’s highest minimum wage at $11. In fact, at $8, B.C. pays its workers the lowest minimum wage of all! The second lowest is nearly a dollar higher (Alberta at $8.80). If the rest of Canada can handle these wages, so can B.C. The only question remained to be answered is how rough this shift will be. Initially, we’re probably looking at a shaky transition, but over the long term, Clark’s move is both necessary and positively impacting. SIDEBAR: Farewell to the training wage, and good riddance! Minimum wage controversies aside, one good thing Clark did in relation to this move was abolish the “training wage.” This wage was $6 per hour for employee’s first 500 hours of working a job (should the employer choose to implement it). That is more than four months of working full time! And you would make a pathetic $240 per week, maximum, before deductions— which would equate to a paltry $12,500 annual salary. These numbers are scary enough, but they probably don’t even apply to you. If you’re a student, you’re more likely working eight to 20 hours per week, in which case breaking out of this poverty could take anywhere from eight months to over a year. The training wage was an insulting, unacceptably low form of compensation for absolutely any job, and no negative implications will arise from this abolishment—any business relying on this option to maintain profits should probably revisit their finances.