The following is taken from a research report written by Terry for the ~ -David Suzuki Glavin* Soundation COMPILED BY ANNETTE MARTIN f wild salmon are to have a future on Canada’s west coast, we must be prepared to make sweeping changes in the way we do things on land, in the rivers, and at sea. Down through the decades, there have been numerous warnings about the salmon’s uncertain future. But the time for talking about action has run out. If wild salmon are to be a part _ of our feature, a decision must made. Either wild salmon will survive, or they won't. Tough changes To decide that wild salmon must have a place in our future is the right thing to do, but the consequences are enormous. It will change everything; from the way we build our cities, cut trees, and graze cattle, to the way we govern ourselves. It will mean drastic changes in the ways we catch salmon, where we catch them, how much we catch, and even if we can afford to catch them at all. We have to change. That much is simple enough. The facts show conclusively that the time for change is now. The David Suzuki Foundation enthusiastically supports govern- ment policies that allow for vibrant and healthy fisheries for aboriginal communities, and com- mercial and recreational sectors. At the same time, we have watched with dismay as federal and provincial governments have descended into deep dysfunction in their relationship on the issue of salmon fisheries. Political dis- putes and power struggles are a luxury the salmon, and the public, can no longer afford. Canada and British Columbia must cooperate in the development of policies that focus on integrated, long- term strategies to protect and restore the genetic diversity of Pacific salmon. Marine ecosystem changes During the 1990s, a major change has occurred in the ocean ecosystem off British Columbia's coast. In 1998, nitrates disappeared from surface water in offshore areas, which poses grave threats to various plankton populations, low-trophic level species, and ultimately to the “forage” species necessary for salmon survival. Alarming declines in marine survival have swept northward from California and up along the British Columbia coast. These large-scale disruptions, whatever their cause, are becoming more frequent, more intense, and more dramatic. They have wreaked havoc with coho, steelhead and chinook pop- ulations and marine survival rates for coho have declined dramati- cally. At a Vancouver workshop in March 1998, Pacific Rim fisheries scientists determined that climate change is now a factor'that may have as large an impact on our salmon as the direct effect of our fisheries. The scientists have begun to document long-term cycles and fluctuations in weather, “Man, | can’t wait to spawn!” barometric pressure and ocean productivity. Patterns in each country’s salmon catch demon- strate that climate influences con- ditions in the marine environ- ment—a key element in salmon production. Since 1993, other scientists have begun to analyse the rela- tionships between salmon abun- dance, ocean conditions and pat- terns in climate. Their findings disprove notions about how the strange weather involves only nat- ural “El Nifio” events, and also challenge naive assumptions that things will be “normal” again soon, Scientists from the United States, Canada, Russia and Japan have concluded that the environ- mental disturbances wreaking such havoc with salmon go far beyond temporary events associat- ed with El Nifio effects, and the more recently-described effects of La Nifia. Research findings also suggest that the damage industrialized countries have visited upon salmon has gone beyond over- fishing and habitat destruction, and has extended far into the sur- face layers of the ocean itself. Water temperature changes Changing ocean temperatures are causing salmon to change their homeward migration routes, and the timing of their returns to BC's rivers. To make matters even more perilous, salmon are encoun- tering extreme stresses in the freshwater environment. In 1998, water temperatures in the Fraser River were among the highest on record, and water levels were the lowest on record, turning the Fraser into a death trap for tens of thousands of salmon. By September 1997, sea- surface temperatures record- ed at lighthouses along the British Columbia coast were higher than any since the 1930s. In fact temperatures peaked in late summer at levels expected by random chance to occur only once every 1,000 to 10,000 years. The evidence is before us: The North Pacific is getting warmer, and the structures of various North Pacific ecosystems are changing. The Pacific Salmon ‘Treaty The time has come to replace the Pacific Salmon Treaty with a new convention which binds all the Pacific states and the Province of British Columbia. A new treaty that reflects not only the legitimate interests of fishermen but also the public interest in salmon, and the importance of maintaining biological diversity in salmon populations. Clearly, the Pacific Salmon Treaty has outlived its usefulness. Long after it came into effect in 1985, the old pattern of dis- agreement, dispute and controver- sy remained largely unchanged. The treaty has also proven inca- pable of maintaining “equity” between the harvests by both countries’ fleets. The pursuit of “equity” has resulted in endless arguments about the economic value of salmon, and produced a calculated mechanism known as a “sockeye equivalent,” that has been used in an attempt to ensure balances between each country’s catch of each other's salmon. The US and Canadian partici- pation in annual treaty negotia- tions has been limited almost exclusively to industry “stakehold- er” groups, and talks have col- lapsed on several occasions since the treaty was signed in 1985. These breakdowns have led to two “fish wars” since 1994, over- fishing by both countries’ fleets, incidents of civil disobedience and badly damaged relations Author Terry Glavin between both countries. The chronic harvest-share dis- putes under the Pacific Salmon Treaty erupted again this season. Alaska’s fisheries managers were refusing to amend their mixed- stock fishing plans to allow endangered Canadian coho to pass through the Alaskan gauntlet of nets and hooks, and B.C. fish- ermen mounted a highly public protest against the presence of Alaskan-caught coho on the menu in Vancouver's Keg Restaurant chain. But away from the public spotlight, two-thirds of the canned salmon produced in British Columbia in 1998 came from raw salmon imported from Alaska—often by Canadian firms operating in Alaska. While all these events were unfolding, even the “lucky” fish- ermen who were able to persist in their fisheries were facing insol- vency as a result of the changed market conditions effecting the salmon economy. In British Columbia, the fishermen’s union was forced to accept a price regime for salmon that provided fishermen with prices, about one- third of those they had com- manded a decade earlier. All levels of Government should set aside their differences and immediately commit them- will to save Pacific salmon selves to assisting commercial fishermen, shoreworkers and fish- ing communities in developing new fishing practices, new mar- kets, and new ways to “add value” to fewer fish. The Pacific Salmon Treaty has failed its objectives, which were to avoid harvest-share dis- putes between Canada and the United States, and to control over-fishing by the fleets of both countries. Neither has happened. Instead, it has caused significant strains in relations between Canada and the US, and between Canada and British Columbia. The Pacific Salmon Treaty has entrenched “mixed- stock” fisheries. “Mixed stock” v. selec- tive fisheries Non-selective “mixed-stock” fisheries management regimes must end. “Interception” fisheries, undertaken by the commercial and recreational sectors of both Canada and the United States, must be replaced by more stock-specific, selective fisheries and Governments should expend every effort to assist fishermen and fishing communities in making these difficult transitions. Since the last century, both Canada and the United States have designed fisheries-manage- ment regimes that sanction a “race for fish” among their respective fleets and between the fleets of both countries. While fishing effort is usually aimed at harvestable surpluses of relatively healthy salmon populations, a consequence of this practice has ‘been:a concentration of the industry's fishing effort in “mixed stock” areas, where many home- ward-migration salmon runs min- gle and “mix”. Non-selective “mixed-stock” fishing tends to result in the unavoidable depletion of smaller, co-migrating salmon populations. The most serious consequence of the loss of small salmon runs is a crippling decline in the biological diversity in salmon —the greatest requirement for long-term abun- dance. The fishing industry, generally, has taken it for granted that somehow scientists will know pre- cisely how many fish are in the water at any given time, which fish are safe to catch and which fish aren't, and how many of each run will end up in the fleet's nets. These expectations are impossible to meet. Significant disruption will result from moving away from non-selective “mixed-stock” fish- ing practices, but we do not pro- pose that governments use blunt Page 6 Noveinber 4 1998 The Other Press