“Take it from me, Harlow, things are going to geta lot worse before they get better.” THE NEED FOR INFLATION ACCOUNTING The recent uproar over the “unconscionable” or “excess” profits of the oil industry brings into focus a national problem that is more than just an aspect of the energy crisis: The U.S. is de- luding itself about the true state of earnings and capital accumulation in our economy. We have been hypnotized by the dollar figures and have not been looking at performance in terms of real wealth created or consumed. The financial accountants attempt to measure business income through the use of some gener- ally aceepted conventions that are dignified as “principles.” They produce figures that purport to be adequate for the purposes of both invest- ment appraisal and business decision-making. In doing so, however, the accountants use a unit of currency as their standard of measurement. They ignore the fact that unlike the physical standards for the meter, liter, or kilogram, no unit of currency does or can provide a constant standard of measurement—for anything. Its worth or purchasing power in the marketplace is always changing. Erosion. Now, if financial accounting were only a . matter of historical score-keeping, such an illu- sion might be of rather limited consequence. But when the erosion of capital as a result of in- flation is completely ignored in the determina- tion of reported profit, the consequences can be serious and far reaching. Thus, while the al- leged “profit” from inflation is an arithmetical abstraction—neither realized nor realizable by a going concern—the taxes on the reported in- come are paid in hard cash. So also are divi- dends, which are sometimes increased under the heady influence of higher “profits.” And distri- butions under profit-sharing or management bonus plans are hardly likely to be exempt from the gratifying appearance of greater earnings. After these disbursements, the real capital left in the business has suffered severe erosion. Knowledgeable business administrators, who are aware of the deficiencies or at least the sub- tleties of financial accounting, will be guided and guarded accordingly in their decision-mak- ing, but there is ample room for the opinion that most businessmen accept their accountants’ findings as “truth.” Even where there is inter- nal recognition of the need for appropriate judgmental interpretation of the figures re- ported from the accounting process, there is al- | ways an external public in which such sophis- tication is not to be expected. Among this public would be present and prospective shareholders as well as major suppliers. And it might not be wholly inappropriate to include also financial in- stitutions which, indeed, could have a dual inter- est and responsibility insofar as they may be both creditors for loans and trustees for private investment funds. American accounting always has been unwill- ing to face up to the inflation issue. Now, at | last, the situation is getting some recognition. In a recent pronouncement, the Securities & Exchange Commission is urging companies to disclose in their financial reports as much as ] : they reasonably can about the impact of infla- Except for a grudging oe een tion upon their earnings—as reported. In par- of inventory accounting that would charge IM ticular, the SEC is asking companies to disclose ge ied cael Sa et oe oh te in their financial reports the impact of inflation ast-in, ~ ¥ ’ heer om, ” on the whole, continued to revere and defend on so-called “inventory profit. ; fas ; 3 And in recognition of the seriousness of the ee eee pe ee as oo problem, the recently created Financial Ac- , : ~~" counting Standards Board has put inflation ac- ee and Ree ae on Be counting near the top of its agenda. Eventually, real capital that must be preserved and en- it will issue an opinion on whether U.S. Cons hanced if the business is to he continued as a vi- eed ime oe ie financial results ad- | able going concern—the very basis upon which Justed for price level changes. certain accounting postulates are alleged to be founded. As a result, in times of inflationary in- creases in price levels—which is nearly always— conventional accounting accepts and condones an illusion that, other things being equal, big- ger figures give rise to greater profits than would be earned on the basis pf a stable level of prices. Ul,