: Monday Nov. 14th, 1988 the Other Press Page 5 Free Trade, How Will It Affect Canada and the United States Militarily. by Ernie Regehr Military production firms in Canada fear "free trade" will not give them increased access to the gigantic US military market. Others worry it will tie Canadian military industry more tightly into the American military economy -- and, therefore, tie Canada more tightly into American security policy. Both concerns need attention. While negotiators (at time of writing) continue to haggle over the finishing touches to a legal text for the Canada/US free trade arrangements, the US Pentagon and Congress are increasingly interested in reducing Canadian military sales to the US -- despite the Canada/US Defense Production Sharing Arrangements (DSPA). In what the Financial Post described as "one of its more glaring gaps," the proposed deal “failed to expand -- or secure -- Canada’s decades-old special access to Washington’s defense budget, this year worth nearly. US $300 billion.” On top of that, the Pentagon, under pressure of Congress, is reviewing its current practices of buying military components from Canada and elsewhere. US deficit- cutting means pressures on Pentagon spending, and Congress wants to keep. as much possible of that spending at home -- there are currently 10 separate legislative proposals before it which would restrict Canadian military sales to the US. The proposed free trade agreement will not touch this element of US protectionism. And that, in turn, may increase the - political price to Canada of maintaining access to the US military market. Access to that market has always had a political price. During the nuclear weapons debate of the early 1960s, the Air Industries Association of Canada argued in favour of accepting nuclear weapons in Canada on grounds this would solidify access to the US military market. "We cannot," said the AIAC president of the day, "go on expecting Washington to take politically difficult decisions that face us. If we don’t take nuclear arms we must be prepared to face the consequences." The point was Canadian access to the US military market is a "break", a privilege perhaps that comes in a spirit of co- operation that must be reciprocated. Twenty years later the AIAC was making the same point with regard to "Star Wars’.. They said -the government's failure to provide active support to the Strategic Defense Initiative meant Canadian firms were being locked out of the SDI market. The Pentagon, they said, is "bitter" and has closed the door on Canadian SDI contracts (although not completely). And even though Canada is currently answer will be when the request comes? Canada has been paying other political costs for military trade, arranged, but not free, through the DSPA. The DSPA call fora "rough A free trade agreement will not reduce any of the political costs of military trade, but it could add some new ones. running a substantial military trade deficit with Washington, a US lobbyist told the Financial Post, "Canadian firms still have to expect to lobby hard for every contract they get in Washington.” Without guaranteed access to the US military market, Canada must constantly negotiate (or lobby for) such access. And to negotiate you have to have something to throw into a deal -- the two prominent Canadian offerings being a) increased Canadian military purchases in the US, and b) political co-operation. Canada has been providing both of these for a long time, in a variety of ways.“ The US buys military commodities in Canada neither out of altruism nor necessity, but out of self interest. Part of it is simply cost-cutting -- external competitors, Canadian, European, or Japanese, encourage American firms to control costs as well. In the long run, however, the Americans see military production co-operation as integral to military policy co-operation. US support for the DSPA has been premised primarily on the need for a continental approach to defense, and, as the ATAC already knew in the 1960's, continued access to the US market rests on a continuing spirit of co-operation. Referring to Canada’s concern over the Pentagon’s review of imports, the Financial Post says " Ottawa believes Canada should have been exempted from the review because of its special and deep-rooted tradition of close military co-operation with the US...." The more determined Congress becomes in reserving the US military market for American firms, the greater will be the political price of securing continued Canadian access to the same market. Shared defense production that is based on a spirit of policy co- operation is unlikely to suffer much nonco-operation from the junior partner. Past Canadian co-operation has: included, notably, cruise missile testing. If a continued market for Canadian military products is related to testing the next generation of cruise missiles (stealth and supersonic), is there any doubt what the Canadian balance” on military trade, which means extensive Canadian purchases in the US. American influence over Canadian procurement, and over the military roles filled by this equipment, is well documented. The equipment itself comes with military roles and policies built in, and through that with political assumptions about military threats -- when you stock your Armed Forces with American equipment, you also equip them with American perceptions of threat. Added to this is the fact that an industry oriented primarily toward the American market inevitably contributes to the full range of American military equipment -- which in turn means that Canadian industry develops a stake in continued American deployments and may very well blunt Canadian political opposition to those same weapons (e.g. the cruise missile, ~ the MX missile, the Minuteman missile and so on). Finally, the development of a significant military production industry in Canada that is oriented, not to production for Canada, but to export markets, inevitably leads to efforts to reduce dependence on a single market, the Pentagon, and to efforts to diversify by pursuing sales in the third world more aggressively -- giving Canada a growing stake in the international arms trade. A free trade agreement will not reduce any of these political costs, but it might add others -- the inter-church coalition on global economic issues, GATT-Fly, suggests two. A free trade deal that provides the US with equal access to Canadian natural resources will not only deplete those resources, without an opportunity for Canadian supply management to protect future Canadian needs, but it will make Canadian resources key strategic resources of the US and mobilize them in support of America’s conventional and nuclear arsenals. Secondly, a free trade agreement could add pressures to make military production central to Canadian industrial strategy. While the agreement will in general view government subsidies to industry (say, as a means of attracting industry to less industrial regions of the country) as unfair competition, and thus prohibit such subsidies, support to military industries will be an exception. In order to assure a defense industry capacity, both sides will reserve the right of public intervention on military industries, particularly the right to subsidize them. If this is so, itcould mean that when the federal government contemplates regional industrial incentives, the only instrument available will be the subsidization of military industries -- resulting in a built-in prejudice toward using military production as an instrument of an industrial strategy. 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