Aiding Lebanon An “Iranian base on the Mediterranean”? By Adem Ozoor arlier this month, headlines announced that the president of the Islamic Republic of Iran, Mahmud Ahmadinejad, will be visiting Lebanon on the thirteenth of October. One reason for this visit is the discussion of political commonalities between the two nations. President Ahmadinejad also wants to offer Lebanon political aid if the country is in need of it. Interestingly though, there are some things that have raised a couple of eyebrows. President Ahmadinejad is going to meet with his long-time political ally Hezbollah, a controversial political group that is known for its conflict with Israel. Both are long-time enemies of Israel and unfavoured politicians in the western world. Also, Ahmadinejad’s description of Lebanon as an “Iranian base on the Mediterranean” is surely a statement that has concerned some. Besides a generous offer of political aid, could this be a new chapter of a Lebanese-Iranian alliance? Could this finally be the downfall of the state of Israel? Could this be a chapter of economic wealth for Lebanon? Could this be a chapter of another Middle Eastern crisis? Or could it be all of that? President Ahmadinejad did state that he would not stand idle if Israel launches another missile into Lebanon. The question is: did he state that from his love for Lebanon or as an excuse to terminate Israel, the long time enemy of the Islamic world? In fact, there are many pros and cons to this situation. Lebanon unfortunately is a very small country that has suffered majorly from enduring years of several wars. Having Iran as a political “spine” could certainly save Lebanon economically. But one major concern is culture. Iran is very well known for its extremely dominant Shiite population. Lebanon, on the other hand, has approximately sixteen different religious groups. That being said, it is almost impossible to imagine having a Christian or non- Shiite Muslim leader of Lebanon with Iran supporting its spine. Instead, Lebanon will more likely be handed over to the fury of Hezbollah. With the almost kindred alliance between Hezbollah and Ahmadinejad, Lebanese culture could undergo an extreme change, negatively affecting non-Shiite Lebanese, especially the Christians. Besides cultural and political alterations, more war and conflict will be started with Israel. It’s absolutely true that Israel is the main reason the Middle East endured decades of hardship. It would be a great relief to the Islamic world to have Israel removed from the Near Eastern map, but it is absolutely unjust for more bloodshed to be the price of this. Unfortunately though, that just may be the case if the Iranian-Lebanese alliance were to exist. Massive wars and bloodsheds will once again roar in the Levant as the blood of Jews and Arabs will flood the Mediterranean coast. Is this really a true friendship of Lebanese-Iranian alliance? Or is this another one of Ahmadinejad’s endeavours at terminating Israel? Is it just to bribe and take advantage of a small vulnerable nation only to create more massacres with a neighbouring nation? On the other hand, this might actually be a strong and revolutionizing concept in Middle Eastern history. With Lebanon being backed up by Iran’s powerful nuclear weapons, conflict with Israel may terminate. Israel may never again harass Lebanon since she’ll know that the price of that will be having its name and citizens violently removed from that part of the globe. This way, Lebanese citizens will ensure being a warless zone for a long time to come. However, the direct opposite could also happen. Unfortunately, because the state of Israel often likes to try playing Bivens tactics, it might actually take the risk of attacking Lebanon once more and lead the Middle East into another crisis. If that were to take place, the western world wouldn’t stand and observe Israel’s fall to ashes. Instead, more American and western European troops would-be sent to the Middle East to “aid,” but instead more would end up dying. Is this really what the world wants, especially after all the troops that have already been killed in Afghanistan and Irag this decade? That being said, the concept of this Iranian-Lebanese alliance could exist successfully and positively, but international-wise, it would heavily depend on Israel’s behaviour. If Israel continues to be a nuisance and harass its Arabic neighbours, this alliance could mark the beginning of 2010’s warfare era. The world can only hope it doesn’t come to that. 15